Race intelligence
Calculate the gap. Keep the uncertainty.
Use an official or authorised last-qualifier benchmark. Unbroken calculates the gap and a planning buffer, not a promise.
Time-gap calculator
Times must come from the same race edition, age group and category.
Waiting for two comparable times.
Check the benchmark source and edition before using it.
Why there is no probability score
Slots, field strength, roll-down and race conditions change. A precise percentage built without an authorised historical sample would be decoration, not intelligence.
observedMeasured from an authorised sample
modelledA planning estimate, never presented as fact
provisionalUseful but still awaiting final verification
pendingThe source or sample is not yet sufficient
suppressedHidden to protect a small cohort